❓ What changed?
At 09:30 on September 12, 2026, the Japan Meteorological Agency (Sapporo Regional Headquarters) issued a Volcanic Warning (near the crater) for Mt. Tokachidake in Hokkaido and raised the Eruption Alert Level from 2 (do not approach the crater) to 3 (do not approach the volcano). Elevated thermal activity has been observed around Crater 62-2 and the Furikozawa fumarole group, and emissions of volcanic gas (sulfur dioxide) have increased since April 2026. On top of that, large-amplitude volcanic earthquakes originating near the volcanic edifice have increased since August 17. Under the JMA criteria, Level 2 covers eruptions (or the potential for them) affecting an area of roughly 1.5 km from the crater; Level 3 extends that area to roughly 3 km. With this change, people must now watch out for large ballistic ejecta thrown out by an eruption within about 3 km of Crater 62-2. Follow the instructions of local authorities and stay out of restricted areas. On the downwind side, ash and small ejecta may be carried far by the wind. The criteria also state that if the Level 3 conditions are met during the snow season, the situation is judged as Level 4 (possibility of an eruption causing damage to residential areas), and that the level is only lowered roughly one month after the conditions are no longer met.
🌏 Impact on foreign residents and visitors
The most direct impact is on travel and hiking plans. Level 3 means "do not approach the volcano": the area within about 3 km of Crater 62-2 is designated a warning zone, and local authorities restrict entry. Booked climbing tours or trekking trips may be cancelled or changed, so confirm before you set out. The second issue is access to information. Volcanic warnings, ashfall forecasts and municipal evacuation information are usually issued in Japanese, so people who are not comfortable with Japanese tend to notice changes later. The JMA's map pages for volcanic warnings and ashfall forecasts show the situation graphically, which helps you grasp the current status without relying on language. In addition, ash and small ejecta can be blown far downwind, so outdoor activities and driving may be affected even outside the warning zone. If you live nearby, check now how you will receive evacuation information from your municipality — disaster-prevention apps, local emergency radio, or the multilingual pages on your city or town's website.
💡 Key points to know
1Stay out of the area within about 3 km of Crater 62-2 and always follow the instructions of local authorities. Large ballistic ejecta from an eruption are the main hazard in this zone.
2Before you travel, check the JMA's map pages for volcanic warnings/eruption notices and ashfall forecasts — they are map-based, so you can understand the situation even with limited Japanese.
3If you plan to climb, check the JMA's information page for volcano climbers for the current state of activity and consider cancelling or changing your plan.
4Ash and small ejecta can be blown far downwind, so take care with outdoor activities even outside the warning zone.
5Follow the JMA disaster information account on X (@JMA_bousai) to catch new warnings and updates quickly.
6Note that alert levels do not always change step by step in order, and an eruption can occur without observable precursors.
7The level is only lowered about one month after the criteria are no longer met, so restrictions may remain even if activity calms down. If the same criteria are met during the snow season, the situation is judged as Level 4.