❓ What is changing?
On September 29, 2026, the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) announced that, because Typhoon No. 25 caused levee breaches on some rivers in Chiba Prefecture, it will operate lowered warning criteria for heavy rain from that day until further notice. Newly covered are Narita City, Inzai City and Sakae Town, where the runoff index criteria are cut to 70% of the normal level. Where levees and embankments are damaged, rivers can hold far less water, so flooding can occur with rainfall that would normally cause no damage. Three products are affected: the Level 4 Heavy Rain Emergency Warning, the Level 3 Heavy Rain Warning and the Level 2 Heavy Rain Advisory. Chiba City and Yachiyo City have already been running provisional criteria at 80% of normal since August 21, and the three new municipalities are now added. With lower thresholds, the same amount of rain will trigger information earlier and at a higher level than before. The provisional criteria are also reflected in the five-color Flood Kikikuru and Heavy Rain Kikikuru risk maps, so residents can keep using them to narrow down which areas should evacuate. The JMA says it will continue checking the state of levees and the relationship between rainfall and disasters, and may revise the criteria as needed.
🌏 Impact on foreign residents
The three newly covered municipalities host logistics centers and farms that employ many technical intern trainees, Specified Skilled Workers and international students, and the area around Narita Airport is full of foreign travelers. With lower thresholds, rain that used to stop at an advisory will now trigger a warning or Level 4 information. If you are not used to Japanese disaster alerts, it is easy to dismiss this as an overreaction — but where levees are broken, the risk really is higher. Do not treat it as a false alarm: always check the Kikikuru map colors and your municipality's evacuation information. Ask your employer, school or dormitory manager in advance what the rules are for commuting, going home and evacuating when a warning is issued. Travelers should also expect planned suspensions of trains and buses, which can disrupt access to Narita Airport.
💡 Key points to know
1Three products are affected: Level 4 Heavy Rain Emergency Warning, Level 3 Heavy Rain Warning and Level 2 Heavy Rain Advisory. They will now be issued earlier for the same rainfall.
2The cut is to 70% of normal in Narita, Inzai and Sakae, and 80% of normal in Chiba City and Yachiyo City (in effect since August 21).
3Check your risk level on the Flood Kikikuru and Heavy Rain Kikikuru maps, which show five color-coded levels and already reflect the provisional criteria.
4If Level 4 (purple) appears, decide to move to a safe place without waiting for your municipality's evacuation order.
5Register now for your city's disaster app and alert emails, and bookmark NHK News and multilingual or Easy Japanese disaster information.
6Use the hazard map to check flood projections for your home and workplace, the nearest evacuation shelter, and a safe route to get there.
7The provisional criteria run "for the time being" and may be revised as levees are repaired. Check the JMA site for the latest status.